Another study suggests that the number of cases in an emerging coronavirus strain at China may have been underestimated. It also warns against human-to-human transmission.
The Chinese government in Wuhan has confirmed 45 cases of the 2019 book coronavirus. This virus can be found in exactly the same household as the deadly severe respiratory syndrome (SARS), and Middle East respiratory Syndrome (MERS), but so far it seems to be fatal. Wuhan police state has confirmed that two people died.
The study by Imperial College London indicates that an estimated 1,723 people were infected as of January 12.
Officials in China have linked the viral diseases to a Wuhan wildlife and fish market. The marketplace was shut down since January 1st to prevent further spread.
The Wuhan Hygiene Emergency Response Team personnel conduct investigations at the Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market in Wuhan.
Three people, two in Thailand and one from Japan, have been infected by the virus. They visited Wuhan but not the market. This suggests that human-to-human transmission is possible. There are increasing concerns about the spread of the virus.
The study’s amount is only an estimate. It is based on several assumptions including the number and duration of the disease incubating, as well as the number and number of cases that were exported to Thailand and Japan.
Neil Ferguson of Imperial College London, a disease epidemic scientist, said that many aspects of the Wuhan coronavirus are “highly uncertain.”
We don’t know much about China’s new SARS-like virus. However, it has been spreading to Japan.
“But the 3 cases outside China are alarming. According to flight statistics and population, we calculate that there is only a 1:574 chance of someone traveling before they seek medical attention. Ferguson explained to CNN that this could have meant there were over 1,700 cases in Wuhan.
“There are many unknowns. This means that there is a wide uncertainty range from 190 to over 4,000. The numbers are large enough to indicate that transmission is possible. “We advocate increased surveillance, instant information sharing, and better preparedness.”
The US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention announced Friday that three US airports will begin screening travelers arriving from Wuhan. They will use an infrared thermometer to check for symptoms of the virus such as difficulty breathing, coughing, and high temperatures.
This screening will be performed by more than 100 people at the bureau in John F.
Kennedy International Airport in New York, San Francisco International Airport, and Los Angeles International Airport. In America, more than 60,000 people traveled to Wuhan this past year.
Although the new virus doesn’t have death rates like MERS or SARS, it infected more than 8,000 people and caused 774 deaths in a pandemic that ravaged Asia in 2002-2003. Health officials are urging caution and caution.
The new coronavirus was first identified in China earlier this year. However, there is still much to learn about it. It is difficult to draw conclusions about the transmission of the disease or clinical characteristics. Friday’s World Health Organization statement said that “the origin of the disease is still unknown”.
